Biden vs. Trump.How is the situation four months after the US elections?

Donald Trump emerged strengthened by the Supreme Court's ruling granting him partial criminal immunity, while Joe Biden is in an image crisis after the terrible electoral debate.

• The Supreme Court has recognized partial immunity to Donald Trump in one of the trials against him.
• President Joe Biden called the decision “a dangerous precedent.”
• Meanwhile in the US there is discussion about Biden's possible withdrawal from the presidential elections, which however seems distant.

We're now four months away presidential elections in the United States, scheduled for November 5, 2024.And the challenge between Donald Trump And Joe Biden is becoming increasingly tense, between new judicial immunities and requests for withdrawal.

There Supreme Court, with a conservative majority, ruled in the case of Donald Trump, candidate for the Republican Party and accused in three processes.The judges partially accepted his lawyers' requests, setting an immunity for official presidential documents that could save him from prosecution.On the other side, there is strong pressure from the base of the Democratic Party towards the candidate and current President Joe Biden to withdraw from the race, after the debacle In the electoral debate of June 27th.But for now there is no sign of a passing of the baton.

Donald Trump's immunity

Donald Trump, candidate for the Republican Party and former president from 2016 to 2020, is accused in three different processes.One concerns the accusation of having falsified accounting documents of his 2016 election campaign to pay a hardcore actress with whom he had had an affair, so that she wouldn't make it public.This is why Trump was convicted from one popular jury last May and the judge's ruling is now awaited.

Another trial concerns the accusation of having kept some confidential government documents on one of his properties.The third process concerns, finally, the attempt to subvert the result of the 2020 presidential election, from which he emerged defeated, and responsibility in the assault to Capitol Hill.It was precisely this last accusation that was called upon to rule Supreme Court, after Trump's lawyers had invoked his criminal immunity related to the presidential office.

The Court, with a conservative majority, recognized that some documents of the trial are covered by immunity and that it will be necessary to distinguish between official presidential acts and unofficial acts.“A historic decision,” exulted Donald Trump.And in fact this is so, because the Court's ruling effectively establishes that every act of a president, when it is official, does not allow his indictment, effectively leaving him total freedom of action.Now it will be up to the district justice, in the specific case of Trump on the accusation of electoral subversion, establish which acts are to be considered official and which are not.This will significantly lengthen the process and it is very likely that the process will be postponed see you after the elections.

The pressure on Joe Biden

The current president of the United States, Joe Biden, he defined “a dangerous precedent” the ruling of the Supreme Court.The procedural process was undoubtedly one of the weak points of Donald Trump's candidacy, which will now be able to come to the vote with the trial still open.For Biden this is not good news, also in light of the terrible performance at the former electoral debate held last June 27th.

On that occasion the voice reduced to a rattle, the rhythm of speaking extremely slow and the uncertainty increasingly pronounced have reignited the controversy on a topic that has been talked about for a long time, namely that today's 81-year-old Biden is no longer the same as he once was and that he no longer has energy and clarity to face a new presidential mandate.After the television debate, many called for his withdrawal from the electoral race and his replacement with another leading exponent of the Democratic Party.On the day after on New York Times, the most important newspaper in the United States, there were even four editorials with this line of thought.

The only way for Joe Biden to withdraw is for Joe Biden himself to decide to withdraw.The current president has in fact won the Democratic Party primaries and in these cases only death or a personal and voluntary act can lead to a change of candidacy.For now there seem to be no signs of a desire to step aside and prominent figures such as the former president Barack Obama they confirmed their endorsement of Biden, which appeared in the electoral events following the television debate fitter.Polls currently give Donald Trump a slight advantage for the November presidential elections and as things stand the gap can only widen.For the Democratic Party, changing candidates could be the kidney stroke to try to recover, but there are also those who say that it would be seen by opinion as a sign of further weakness and internal chaos.